2020 NFL Strength of Schedule Rankings

By Kevin Kelley -

2020 NFL Strength of Schedule rankings have been calculated for the upcoming season, and a couple of different methods are available.

The first, the winning percentage method, is far from an exact science. This method is based solely on the combined record of a team’s opponents from the previous season.

Winning Percentage Method

Rank Team Opp. Record (2019) Opp. Winning % (2019)
1 New England Patriots 137-118-1 .537
2 New York Jets 136-119-1 .533
3 Miami Dolphins 135-120-1 .529
4 San Francisco 49ers 134-120-2 .527
T-5 Buffalo Bills 134-121-1 .525
T-5 Detroit Lions 134-121-1 .525
T-5 Atlanta Falcons 134-121-1 .525
T-8 Arizona Cardinals 132-123-1 .518
T-8 Houston Texans 132-123-1 .518
T-10 Minnesota Vikings  131-123-2 .516
T-10 Los Angeles Rams 131-123-2 .516
12 Denver Broncos 131-125 .512
T-13 Chicago Bears 129-125-2 .509
T-13 Seattle Seahawks 129-125-2 .509
15 Green Bay Packers 128-126-2 .504
T-16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 128-127-1 .502
T-16 Indianapolis Colts 128-127-1 .502
T-18 Kansas City Chiefs 128-128 .500
T-18 Carolina Panthers 127-127-2 .500
20 Tennessee Titans 127-128-1 .498
21 Las Vegas Raiders 127-129 .496
22 Jacksonville Jaguars 126-129-1 .494
23 Los Angeles Chargers 126-130 .492
24 New Orleans Saints 125-130-1 .490
25 Philadelphia Eagles 124-131-1 .486
26 New York Giants 123-132-1 .482
27 Cincinnati Bengals 122-134 .477
28 Washington Redskins 118-136-2 .465
29 Cleveland Browns 118-138 .461
30 Dallas Cowboys 117-138-1 .459
31 Pittsburgh Steelers 117-139 .457
32 Baltimore Ravens 112-144 .438

The New England Patriots sit at the top of the rankings using the winning percentage method, just ahead of the New York Jets. Miami is third, followed by San Francisco in fourth and three teams tied for fifth.

The distance from first (New England) to fifth-place (Buffalo, Detroit, and Atlanta) is only three games in the win column.

Baltimore has the easiest schedule in 2020, according to the winning percentage method. Their schedule is easier than the 31st-ranked team, Pittsburgh, by five games.

SportsBettingDime offers an alternative NFL strength of schedule ranking, saying that “this is how we should be calculating SOS.”

They use BetOnline’s 2020 projected win totals to provide their own NFL strength of schedule rankings. This is determined by “adding the projected wins of each team’s 16 opponents this season.”

Below are their rankings using that method. Their rankings differ of course, but you’ll notice some similarities, especially with a few teams with the toughest and easiest schedules this season.

Rank Team Proj. Wins of 2019 Opp.
1 Atlanta Falcons 136
2 New York Giants 135.3
3 New York Jets 133.3
4 Carolina Panthers 133
5 Denver Broncos 133
6 Las Vegas Raiders 132.9
7 Los Angeles Rams 132.1
8 Washington Redskins 132
9 New Orleans Saints 131.2
10 Houston Texans 131
11 Philadelphia Eagles 130.5
12 Cincinnati Bengals 130.3
13 New England Patriots 130.3
14 San Francisco 49ers 129.3
15 Arizona Cardinals 129.2
16 Buffalo Bills 129.2
17 Green Bay Packers 129.1
18 Jacksonville Jaguars 129
19 Minnesota Vikings 128.5
20 Seattle Seahawks 128.4
21 Miami Dolphins 128.2
22 Dallas Cowboys 127.2
23 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 127
24 Pittsburgh Steelers 126.9
25 Kansas City Chiefs 126.5
26 Los Angeles Chargers 126.4
27 Baltimore Ravens 126.1
28 Detroit Lions 125.9
29 Chicago Bears 125.7
30 Cleveland Browns 125.4
31 Tennessee Titans 124.8
32 Indianapolis Colts 122.3

The Atlanta Falcons have the toughest schedule in 2020, while the Indianapolis Colts have the easiest, according to the projected win totals method.

To compare, Atlanta is tied for fifth while Indianapolis is tied for 16th, according to the winning percentage method.

The 2020 NFL Schedule is scheduled to begin on Thursday, Sept. 10 with the Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Houston Texans. The game will be televised by NBC at 8:20pm ET.

NFL Schedules

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