2019 NFL Strength of Schedule Rankings

By Kevin Kelley -

2019 NFL Strength of Schedule rankings have been released, which are based solely on the combined record of a team’s opponents from the previous season.

It’s definitely far from an exact science. The winning percentage method cannot take into account factors such as the NFL Draft, free agent signings, injuries, and more.

Listed below are the 2019 NFL Strength of Schedule rankings using the winning percentage method. Below that, we’ll take a look at a second method based on Las Vegas betting odds.

RankTeamOpp. Record (2018)Opp. Winning % (2018)
1Oakland Raiders137-117-2.539
2Denver Broncos136-117-3.537
3Jacksonville Jaguars136-120.531
4Houston Texans135-121.527
T-5Chicago Bears131-121-4.520
T-5Kansas City Chiefs132-122-2.520
T-7Atlanta Falcons132-123-1.518
T-7Indianapolis Colts132-123-1.518
9Tennessee Titans131-124-1.514
10Minnesota Vikings130-124-2.512
11San Francisco 49ers129-124-3.510
T-12Arizona Cardinals129-125-2.508
T-12Tampa Bay Buccaneers130-126.508
T-14Dallas Cowboys128-126-2.504
T-14Green Bay Packers128-126-2.504
T-16Los Angeles Chargers127-126-3.502
T-16Carolina Panthers128-127-1.502
18Miami Dolphins127-127-2.500
T-19Pittsburgh Steelers126-128-2.496
T-19Detroit Lions125-127-4.496
T-19Baltimore Ravens125-127-4.496
22New Orleans Saints125-131.488
23Cleveland Browns123-131-2.484
24Buffalo Bills122-132-2.480
25Seattle Seahawks121-132-3.479
26Philadelphia Eagles121-133-2.477
T-27Cincinnati Bengals119-133-4.473
T-27New York Giants120-134-2.473
T-27New York Jets120-134-2.473
T-27Los Angeles Rams120-134-2.473
T-27New England Patriots120-134-2.473
32Washington Redskins119-135-2.469

Oakland, Denver, Jacksonville, and Houston sit at the top of the rankings using the winning percentage method. Oakland and Houston are separated by only two games in the win column.

The distance from fourth (Houston) to fifth (Chicago and Kansas City) is four games in the win column.

Washington has the easiest schedule in 2019, according to the winning percentage method, by one game over five teams that are tied for 27th.

SportsBettingDime offers an alternative NFL strength of schedule ranking, saying that “this is how we should be calculating SOS.”

They use BetOnline’s 2019 projected win totals to provide their own NFL strength of schedule rankings. This is determined by “adding the projected wins of each team’s 16 opponents this season.”

Below are their rankings using that method. Their rankings differ of course, but you’ll notice some similarities, especially with a few teams with the toughest and easiest schedules this season.

RankTeamProj. Wins of 2019 Opp.
1Houston Texans138.5
2Denver Broncos138
3Oakland Raiders136.5
4Atlanta Falcons135.5
5Chicago Bears135.5
6Tampa Bay Buccaneers135
7Tennessee Titans135
8Carolina Panthers134.5
9Kansas City Chiefs134.5
10Jacksonville Jaguars133.5
11Minnesota Vikings133
12Arizona Cardinals132.5
13New Orleans Saints132
14Seattle Seahawks132
15Detroit Lions131.5
16Indianapolis Colts131
17Los Angeles Chargers131
18Green Bay Packers130.5
19San Francisco 49ers130
20Miami Dolphins129.5
21Dallas Cowboys128.5
22Washington Redskins128.5
23Baltimore Ravens128
24Cincinnati Bengals 127.5
25Los Angeles Rams127.5
26Pittsburgh Steelers 127
27New York Giants124.5
28Buffalo Bills123
29Philadelphia Eagles123
30Cleveland Browns122.5
31New York Jets121
32New England Patriots117.5

Teams included in the Top 5 of both ranking methods (toughest schedule) include Denver, Houston, Oakland, and Chicago. The Jets and Patriots both appear in the bottom five (easiest schedule) of both rankings.

You can click on any team name to view their schedule for the upcoming season. The 2019 NFL season kicks off on Thursday, Sept. 8 with the Green Bay Packers visiting the Chicago Bears.

NFL Schedules

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