2022 NFL Strength of Schedule rankings for all 32 teams have been calculated for the upcoming season, and a couple of different methods are available.
The first method, the winning percentage method, is not an exact science due to player trades, free agency, injuries, and the draft. This method is based solely on the combined record of a team’s opponents from the previous season.
Below are the strength of schedule rankings using the winning percentage method, which includes the combined opponent record and winning percentage from the 2021 season.
Winning Percentage Method
|Rank||Team||Opp. Record (2021)||Opp. Winning % (2021)|
|4||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||154-134-1||.535|
|T-5||San Francisco 49ers||154-135-0||.533|
|T-5||Kansas City Chiefs||154-135-0||.533|
|T-7||Las Vegas Raiders||152-136-1||.528|
|T-7||New Orleans Saints||152-136-1||.528|
|16||New England Patriots||143-144-2||.498|
|T-17||New York Jets||142-145-2||.495|
|22||Green Bay Packers||137-150-2||.478|
|29||New York Giants||134-154-1||.465|
The Los Angeles Rams, the reigning Super Bowl champions, have the toughest schedule in 2022 using the winning percentage method, just ahead of the Arizona Cardinals. Cincinnati is third, followed by Tampa Bay in fourth and San Francisco and Kansas City in a tie for fifth.
The distance from first (LA Rams) to fifth-place (San Francisco, Kansas City) is 10 games in the win column.
The Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders have the easiest schedule in 2022, according to the winning percentage method. The remainder of the NFC East, the New York Giants (29th) and Philadelphia Eagles (30th), round out the bottom four.
Sharp Football Analysis offers an alternative NFL strength of schedule ranking this season based on projected win totals from Vegas oddsmakers.
Sharp uses 2022 projected win totals because this method is “…much better than so many widely used metrics that use the previous season’s record.” Below are their rankings using that method.
Projected Win Totals Method
Using the Vegas win total method, the Washington Commanders have the toughest schedule in 2022, while the Kansas City Chiefs have the easiest.
To compare, the Commanders have the toughest schedule using Vegas win totals, while they are tied for 31st using the winning percentage method. The Kansas City Chiefs, who are deemed to have the easiest schedule using Vegas win totals, are tied for 5th toughest using the winning percentage method.
The 2022 NFL Schedule is set for release on Thursday, May 12 at 8:00pm ET. Week 1 of the 2022 season will be revealed on Thursday morning.