Strength of schedule has been a big topic in college football since the playoff was announced. But it really heated up on Sunday when the SEC announced their revised scheduling format.
To aid in the discussion, fans, writers and even the schools have been referencing the final strength of schedule rankings of their team for the 2013 season.
The source of that information comes from the NCAA’s own website, and the Top 35 was tweeted in a graphic Sunday night by the SEC Communications Director.
But a closer look at those numbers has revealed that they don’t add up. Tennessee is listed as number one by the NCAA with their past opposition having a record of 79-42. But the actual number is 94-59, which places them 13th.
Auburn, ranked 2nd, is listed as having opposition with a 94-50 record, but it’s really 109-71, placing them 16th.
So what is the discrepancy? It’s not clear to me. Tennessee is missing 15 wins and 17 losses from their totals. If the NCAA method is omitting FCS games, then 12 losses are accounted for because Austin Peay went 0-12.
That still leaves 15 wins and 5 losses unaccounted for. Conference championship games and bowl games may not be included, but that still isn’t enough.
Can anyone figure this out? While we crowd source, here are what we believe to be the most accurate NCAA method strength of schedule rankings courtesy of KPIsports.net.
Update (2pm ET)
The Playoff Guru has solved the issue here. The information on the NCAA’s site does not include records of teams played that are FCS or that are FBS Transitional. Last season, Appalachian State, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, and Old Dominion were classified as FBS transitional teams.
Also, conference championship games are included, but not bowl games.
RANK | TEAM | WINS | LOSSES | WIN% |
1 | Mississippi State | 111 | 57 | .661 |
2 | Florida | 97 | 55 | .638 |
3 | California | 99 | 57 | .635 |
4 | Purdue | 98 | 57 | .632 |
5 | Texas A&M | 108 | 63 | .632 |
6 | Georgia | 105 | 62 | .629 |
7 | USF | 96 | 57 | .627 |
8 | Kentucky | 95 | 57 | .625 |
9 | Virginia | 97 | 59 | .622 |
10 | Arkansas | 96 | 59 | .619 |
11 | Arizona State | 112 | 70 | .615 |
11 | Colorado | 96 | 60 | .615 |
13 | Tennessee | 94 | 59 | .614 |
14 | Pittsburgh | 103 | 66 | .609 |
15 | Utah | 96 | 62 | .608 |
16 | Auburn | 109 | 71 | .606 |
17 | Stanford | 110 | 72 | .604 |
18 | NC State | 93 | 61 | .604 |
19 | Georgia State | 91 | 60 | .603 |
20 | TCU | 92 | 61 | .601 |
21 | South Carolina | 101 | 67 | .601 |
22 | Indiana | 93 | 63 | .596 |
23 | Idaho | 91 | 62 | .595 |
24 | Michigan | 98 | 67 | .594 |
25 | North Carolina | 99 | 68 | .593 |
26 | Washington State | 101 | 70 | .591 |
27 | Missouri | 104 | 73 | .588 |
28 | Mississippi | 98 | 69 | .587 |
29 | Virginia Tech | 99 | 70 | .586 |
30 | Toledo | 91 | 65 | .583 |
30 | Tulsa | 91 | 65 | .583 |
32 | Wake Forest | 89 | 64 | .582 |
33 | Arizona | 96 | 70 | .578 |
34 | Clemson | 96 | 71 | .575 |
35 | Northwestern | 89 | 66 | .574 |
36 | Nevada | 88 | 66 | .571 |
37 | Notre Dame | 97 | 73 | .571 |
38 | Houston | 94 | 71 | .570 |
39 | Iowa | 95 | 72 | .569 |
40 | Kansas State | 94 | 72 | .566 |
41 | Illinois | 86 | 66 | .566 |
41 | Memphis | 86 | 66 | .566 |
43 | Oregon State | 96 | 74 | .565 |
44 | Iowa State | 85 | 66 | .563 |
45 | Hawaii | 87 | 68 | .561 |
46 | Kansas | 85 | 67 | .559 |
47 | Akron | 85 | 68 | .556 |
47 | Baylor | 90 | 72 | .556 |
49 | Oklahoma State | 91 | 73 | .555 |
49 | Texas | 91 | 73 | .555 |
51 | Connecticut | 86 | 69 | .555 |
51 | San Jose State | 86 | 69 | .555 |
53 | FIU | 84 | 68 | .553 |
53 | Kent State | 84 | 68 | .553 |
53 | UAB | 84 | 68 | .553 |
56 | UMass | 85 | 69 | .552 |
57 | UCLA | 92 | 75 | .551 |
58 | Syracuse | 90 | 74 | .549 |
59 | Alabama | 91 | 75 | .548 |
60 | USC | 99 | 82 | .547 |
61 | Eastern Michigan | 83 | 69 | .546 |
61 | Temple | 83 | 69 | .546 |
63 | Boston College | 90 | 75 | .545 |
64 | Georgia Tech | 91 | 76 | .545 |
64 | Washington | 91 | 76 | .545 |
66 | Minnesota | 89 | 75 | .543 |
67 | Oklahoma | 88 | 75 | .540 |
68 | Tulane | 87 | 75 | .537 |
69 | Florida State | 96 | 83 | .536 |
70 | BYU | 89 | 77 | .536 |
71 | LSU | 88 | 78 | .530 |
72 | West Virginia | 80 | 71 | .530 |
72 | Western Michigan | 80 | 71 | .530 |
74 | Texas Tech | 86 | 77 | .528 |
75 | Penn State | 80 | 72 | .526 |
76 | Duke | 93 | 84 | .525 |
77 | Nebraska | 86 | 79 | .521 |
78 | Wisconsin | 85 | 79 | .518 |
79 | FCS | 727 | 679 | .517 |
80 | ULM | 77 | 72 | .517 |
81 | New Mexico State | 78 | 73 | .517 |
82 | Ohio State | 90 | 86 | .511 |
83 | South Alabama | 76 | 73 | .510 |
84 | Miami (FL) | 84 | 81 | .509 |
85 | Michigan State | 90 | 87 | .508 |
86 | Southern Miss | 76 | 75 | .503 |
87 | Air Force | 77 | 76 | .503 |
88 | Arkansas State | 81 | 80 | .503 |
89 | San Diego State | 83 | 82 | .503 |
90 | Maryland | 82 | 82 | .500 |
90 | Miami (OH) | 76 | 76 | .500 |
90 | Rutgers | 81 | 81 | .500 |
93 | Boise State | 82 | 83 | .497 |
94 | New Mexico | 76 | 77 | .497 |
94 | UTSA | 76 | 77 | .497 |
96 | Utah State | 88 | 90 | .494 |
97 | Navy | 79 | 82 | .491 |
98 | Oregon | 80 | 84 | .488 |
99 | SMU | 73 | 77 | .487 |
100 | UNLV | 79 | 84 | .485 |
101 | Florida Atlantic | 74 | 80 | .481 |
102 | Troy | 71 | 79 | .473 |
103 | Central Florida | 76 | 85 | .472 |
104 | Ohio | 77 | 87 | .470 |
105 | UTEP | 71 | 81 | .467 |
106 | North Texas | 75 | 89 | .457 |
107 | Vanderbilt | 74 | 89 | .454 |
108 | Rice | 79 | 96 | .451 |
109 | Fresno State | 74 | 90 | .451 |
110 | Western Kentucky | 65 | 82 | .442 |
111 | Marshall | 77 | 98 | .440 |
112 | Buffalo | 71 | 91 | .438 |
113 | Central Michigan | 67 | 86 | .438 |
114 | Northern Illinois | 77 | 99 | .438 |
115 | Army | 65 | 84 | .436 |
116 | East Carolina | 71 | 92 | .436 |
117 | Texas State | 64 | 83 | .435 |
118 | UL Lafayette | 69 | 90 | .434 |
119 | Louisville | 70 | 92 | .432 |
120 | Wyoming | 65 | 86 | .430 |
121 | Middle Tennessee | 70 | 93 | .429 |
122 | Bowling Green | 74 | 100 | .425 |
123 | Colorado State | 70 | 103 | .405 |
124 | Ball State | 64 | 95 | .403 |
125 | Cincinnati | 59 | 101 | .369 |
126 | Louisiana Tech | 54 | 94 | .365 |