Phil Steele has published his 2013 college football strength of schedule rankings. The Florida Gators have the toughest schedule in 2013, while the Old Dominion Monarchs have the easiest.
It should be noted that Old Dominion is classified as an FCS team for scheduling purposes in 2013, but FBS for statistics. If you don’t count ODU, then Georgia State has the easiest schedule in his rankings.
How does Steele arrive at his preseason schedule ratings? Steele combines his “9 sets of Power Ratings” with the amount of home and away games. This differs from the NCAA method which is strictly based on the opponent winning percentage from the previous year.
In 2012, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish had the toughest schedule according to Steele’s rankings. They finished the season 12-1, losing only to Alabama in the BCS National Championship Game.
The easiest preseason schedule in 2012? The UTSA Roadrunners, who finished 8-4 overall and 3-3 in the WAC.
Phil Steele’s 10 toughest schedules for 2013
1. Florida (2012 ranking: 5) – Florida tops Phil Steele’s list and it’s hard to argue with him, although I ranked them 5th in my column for USA TODAY Sports. For the first time in 10 years, the Gators travel to face the Miami Hurricanes. Arkansas and Vanderbilt visit while games against LSU, Georgia (at Jacksonville) and South Carolina are on the road. A visit from arch-rival Florida State ends the season.
2. Oklahoma (2012 ranking: 20) – OU’s non-conference slate is highlighted by a visit from Tulsa and a trip to Notre Dame. In Big 12 play, the Sooners get Baylor, Kansas State, Oklahoma State and Texas (at the Cotton Bowl) on the road and TCU, Texas Tech, and West Virginia at home.
3. California (2012 ranking: 31) – Cal faces two Big Ten and possible Top 25 teams on their non-conference slate — Northwestern and Ohio State. The Golden Bears host Pac-12 foes Arizona, Oregon State, and USC and travel to Oregon, Stanford, and UCLA.
4. Purdue (2012 ranking: 49) – Purdue has one of the tougher non-conference schedules, which includes a trip to Cincinnati and visits from Notre Dame and Northern Illinois. The Boilermakers get Nebraska and Ohio State at home, but play at Michigan State, Penn State, and Wisconsin.
5. Arkansas (2012 ranking: 18) – The Razorbacks open at home vs. a tough UL Lafayette squad and later travel to Rutgers. In the SEC, the Hogs have a brutal four-game stretch vs. Texas A&M, at Florida, vs. South Carolina, and at Alabama. Arkansas also plays at Ole Miss and LSU.
6. Iowa State (2012 ranking: 3) – The Cyclones host in-state rival Iowa and later travel to Tulsa. Big 12 home games include Texas, Oklahoma State, TCU and Kansas. The Cyclones travel to Texas Tech, Baylor, Kansas State, Oklahoma, and West Virginia.
7. Colorado (2012 ranking: 32) – The Buffaloes have a light non-conference schedule, which kicks off with their annual battle against Colorado State in Denver. Colorado has a tough Pac-12 slate, which features home games vs. Oregon, Arizona, California, and USC and road games vs. Oregon State, Arizona State, UCLA, Washington, and Utah.
8. Stanford (2012 ranking: 12) – The Cardinal open the season against a good San Jose State squad followed by a trip to Army. Stanford hosts Pac-12 games against Arizona State, Washington, UCLA, Oregon, and California and visits Washington State, Utah, Oregon State, and USC. A visit from Notre Dame looms in the regular-season finale.
9. Kentucky (2012 ranking: 10) – Kentucky’s schedule, which was first in my rankings, begins with Western Kentucky in Nashville. Two weeks later, the Wildcats host bitter rival Louisville. Their SEC slate is even tougher with likely preseason Top 10 teams Alabama and Florida at home and Georgia and South Carolina on the road.
10. Kansas (2012 ranking: 11) – The biggest challenge on Kansas’ 2013 non-conference schedule is Louisiana Tech. In conference play, the Jayhawks host Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, and Kansas State and travel to TCU, Texas, Oklahoma State, and Iowa State.
An SEC school owns the toughest schedule according to Steele. The SEC also has three teams in his Top 10, which is tied with the Big 12 and Pac-12. The Big Ten is the only other conference with a team in the Top 10 (Purdue).
The rest of Phil Steele’s toughest schedule rankings are listed below. What do you think of his rankings?
11-25
(11) Missouri, (12) Utah, (13) Notre Dame, (14) South Carolina, (15) Texas, (16) LSU, (17) TCU, (18) Auburn, (19) Tennessee, (20) Illinois, (21) UCLA, (22) Baylor, (23) Georgia, (24) Pittsburgh, (25) Kansas State
26-50
(26) Washington State, (27) Virginia, (28) Texas A&M, (29) Michigan, (30) Texas Tech, (31) Arizona State, (32) Oklahoma State, (33) Mississippi State, (34) Ole Miss, (35) USC, (36) Boston College, (37) Oregon State, (38) Indiana, (39) Vanderbilt, (40) Alabama, (41) Georgia Tech, (42) North Carolina, (43) Iowa, (44) West Virginia, (45) Northwestern, (46) Syracuse, (47) USF, (48) Wake Forest, (49) BYU, (50) Washington
51-75
(51) Penn State, (52) Arizona, (53) Minnesota, (54) SMU, (55) Clemson, (56) Nevada, (57) NC State, (58) Oregon, (59) Virginia Tech, (60) Miami, FL, (61) Michigan State, (62) Maryland, (63) Connecticut, (64) Florida State, (65) Temple, (66) Nebraska, (67) Ohio State, (68) Memphis, (69) Wisconsin, (70) Idaho, (71) Akron, (72) Colorado State, (73) Tulsa, (74) Buffalo, (75) San Diego State
76-100
(76) Hawaii, (77) Duke, (78) UTSA, (79) Kent State, (80) Toledo, (81) San Jose State, (82) UMass, (83) Eastern Michigan, (84) Miami, OH, (85) Rutgers, (86) Houston, (87) North Texas, (88) UCF, (89) Southern Miss, (90) Central Michigan, (91) Boise State, (92) Wyoming, (93) Utah State, (94) Tulane, (95) UAB, (96) East Carolina, (97) Western Michigan, (98) Louisville, (99) Navy, (100) New Mexico
101-126
(101) Cincinnati, (102) FIU, (103) UTEP, (104) Florida Atlantic, (105) Air Force, (106) UNLV, (107) Fresno State, (108) Troy, (109) ULM, (110) South Alabama, (111) Marshall, (112) Arkansas State, (113) New Mexico State, (114) Rice, (115) Bowling Green, (116) Ball State, (117) Army, (118) Western Kentucky, (119) Middle Tennessee, (120) Louisiana Tech, (121) UL Lafayette, (122) Ohio, (123) Texas State, (124) Northern Illinois, (125) Georgia State, (126) Old Dominion
View Comments (90)
Thank you for putting BYU at 49. I'm sick of hearing about their incredible schedule this year.
For an independent schedule it is solid, 2nd highest of the 6 independents this year and has a number of impressive schools on it. But yeah it aint a SEC, Big 12, or PAC 12 schedule.
Don't read too much into any preseason rankings or SOS. We all know some schools will be surprising good and some will be surprising bad. End of Season SOS will mean a lot more!
It's an incredible schedule, don't know if we've ever had better.
It's no SEC schedule, but it's no MWC or WAC schedule either.
Phil has Texas at #4, Notre Dame at #10, Wisconsin at #20, and Boise St. at #33 in his 2013 pre-season top 40. Houston, Nevada, and MTSU are way down his list.
I expect Utah St. and Georgia Tech to hit the top 40 and Boise St. to reach the top 20. The final schedule ranking will be in the top-25 - as will BYU.
Just look at 48 and you'll see why this is not correct. Who does Wake Forest play other than FS, I guess Army might take them. BYU's schedule is very solid with only a couple of mediocre games vs Mid Tenn and Idaho State, otherwise @ Virginia, Texas, ND, Wisconsin, Boise State, Utah, Utah State, Georgia Tech, Houston and Nevada.
BYU has an amazing schedule - here are two matchups that almost any team can chalk in as an 'L' in advance:
ND has Has only been beaten 5 times at home in November in the last 17 years (Inclding a number of really bad seasons) ...and 3 of those were in OT or 2OT.
Boise St. Has the best record in NCAA football as of late - averaging only 1 loss per season for the last 5 seasons.
This not including Texas, WIsconsin, Utah, and a grab-bag of Mid-majors.
byU at 49 and that is their toughest schedule ever? It really doesn't bode well for them that they are 0-1 against arguably the third worst team on their schedule. It's going to be a long season.
2nd highest of independents? That is a stretch to have something to crow about!! LOL!
Not a MWC schedule? Maybe not, but Nevada isn't close behind at 56.
Come on Tennessee had to play on the road at the #2 and the #1 team. The score might not have been pretty but tennessee should defiantly be in the top ten. Tennessee has 4 straight road games against ranked opponents, it's only a wonder why the volunteers are 0-3 in road games in this season. I'm not sure who this "expert" is but I do not think he knows much about football.
It's always confusing when someone (in this case Steele) lists an FCS transition team down as an FBS team. Thanks for clarifying.
As to his ranking of SOS, you really would have to look at his SOS rankings side-by-side with his preseason rankings to properly evaluate them. If his preseason rankings are off, his SOS rankings will be off as well.
Where is N.C. State???
57th
How can old Dominion have the easiest with East Carolina, Maryland, Pittsburgh, Idaho, and North Carolina all on it?
Because the other 7 teams on their schedule are all FCS.
I am a huge fan of Phil but I really think he was off when he wrote this. ... having Ariz State at 31 when the play Wisconsin and Notre Dame in non-conference is just inexplicable. Sorry Phil...
It's toughest schedule, not toughest out of conference schedule.
Huge difference.
notre dame isnt even ranked, and wisconsin is 17 soooo..........
I agree, BYU always plays an easy schedule, and this one just mediocre. But it is a tuff one for a sissy team like them.
Your an idiot
Speaking of sissy teams, what about Alabama. Nick Saban cried after he lost games in 2010 so the SEC set him and Alabama up with easy schedules from then on. Why? Time for Alabama to show they have balls and play the likes of Florida, Georgia or South Carolina.
Alabama and nick duck Sabin have one of the easiest schedules in the sec grab some balls Sabin and play someone besides Lsu ever heard of Florida Georgia South Carolina last I looked there in the sec also oh yea you don't play them
if bama played s.c fla. or geo. they would be out of the running 4 sec east because they all would wind up with 2 losses vandy would win the east u all whiney baby mofos
We play at Stanford,Minnesota and host Navy plus a rugged MWC schedule and ranked only 82nd? I think Phil is a little off this year
BYUs schedule is tougher than #2 Oklahoma's.., BYU def should be in the top 10.
I thin it's funny that the only thing really making Utah's schedule weaker than Colorado's is that Colorado has to play Utah, and Utah plays Colorado.
Hawaii will travel 32,000 miles this year without going back home between home games on uncharted flights. Is that calculated in the formula for strength of schedule?