How scheduling contributed to Clemson’s meteoric rise

Photo: Adam Hagy-USA TODAY Sports

Six games into the 2008 season Tommy Bowden resigned as the head coach at Clemson, prompting the program to name then offensive coordinator Dabo Swinney interim. In December of that same year, Swinney – who had been an assistant since his coaching career began in 1993 – was introduced as the Tigers’ new head coach.

Swinney went 9-5 in his first season at the helm, dropped to 6-7 in 2010 and then never looked back, posting double-digit wins consecutively from 2011 through 2019. Included in the epic 111-16 run are six ACC titles and two national championships.

While the coaching change led directly to the emergence of the Tigers as a national powerhouse, another, much more subtle shift, put Clemson in position to be a national contender.

In 2006, the FBS level of college football went from playing 11 regular season games to 12. For ACC members that meant continuing to play eight conference games and adding a fourth non-conference opponent. It also set the scene for Clemson to eventually adopt a scheduling practice that would serve it well as its program began to rise.

The Tigers’ non-conference slate is anchored by the fact that they play South Carolina every season, which they’ve done consecutively since 1909. It means that since 2006 they’ve had three slots to fill in non-ACC play each year.

In 2006 and 2007, Clemson filled those places with a variety of non-Power 5 opponents – two from the Sun Belt and one apiece from the ranks of the WAC, MAC, Independents (Temple), and the FCS level.

In 2008 (Bowden’s final season at the helm and Swinney’s seven-games as the interim), the schedulers at Clemson made a significant move by adding an opening date with Alabama in Atlanta to its annual clash with South Carolina. The non-ACC slate was balanced by games against a pair of FCS opponents.

In 2009, Swinney’s first as the full-time head man, the Tigers added games vs. a trio of foes from the Sun Belt, Mountain West, and FCS to its standing date with the Gamecocks. It also marked the last time that Clemson didn’t play two Power 5 opponents in non-conference action.

From 2010-12, the Tigers added Auburn to the mix. In 2013-14 it was Georgia, in 2015 it was Notre Dame and from 2016-17 it was back to Auburn. Most recently, in 2018-19, Clemson played a home-and-home with Texas A&M.

Moving forward, the Tigers have an additional Power 5 opponent (beyond South Carolina) slated each season from 2020-37 with the single exception of 2021, when they’re scheduled to play UConn, Wyoming and FCS South Carolina State.

It’s worth noting that not only are Clemson’s schedulers continuing the practice of doubling up on Power opponents, they’re clearly remaining committed to booking quality foes: Notre Dame (2020, 2022-23, 2027-28, 2031, 2034, 2037), Georgia (2024, 2029-30, 2032-33), LSU (2025-26) and Oklahoma (2035-36).

By simply adding an additional non-league game vs. a Power 5 contender that exceeds the minimum scheduling requirements, Clemson has shifted the conversation on scheduling strength from “they have a weak ACC slate” to “they play two very difficult non-ACC games each year.” This is a key point if you’re going to try to make a case with the College Football Playoff committee. And though moving forward it will continue to be important, it was especially beneficial in 2015 – or before Clemson showed that they could not only compete in a bracket featuring the best programs from across the nation, but they could win the whole shooting match.

It was and is a genius move. And – the Tigers were not required to do it.

It’s important to remember that the eight-game league schedule is unique to the ACC and SEC, giving members the freedom to book four non-conference opponents as opposed to the three granted to Big Ten, Big 12, and Pac-12 programs (by virtue of playing a nine-game league slate). It also means that (in a perfect world where all Power teams uphold the standard of playing one Power 5 foe in non-conference action) that SEC and ACC programs, by design, play one fewer Power opponent each season (eight conference games plus one Power non-league game) than those from the Big Ten, Big 12 and Pac-12 (nine conference games plus one Power non-league game).

While this should put both the SEC and ACC members at a comparative disadvantage in scheduling strength comparisons, the inherent (or perceived) strength of an SEC conference slate gives its members schools a pass – as in “we play one fewer Power team, but we’re in the most difficult conference.”

This makes weak non-league scheduling especially costly to the ACC teams, which are hampered with a set of weaker conference opponents and therefore at the biggest disadvantage when schedules are compared.

And this is what makes Clemson’s practice of scheduling not one but two blockbuster non-ACC opponents per season such a huge deal.

Compare it to fellow ACC member Virginia Tech, the last team from the Coastal division to win the conference title. The Hokies have only doubled-up on non-conference Power foes twice since 2010, facing both Tennessee and Notre Dame in 2016 and booking Ohio State and Purdue in 2015. Looking ahead, Virginia Tech earns credit for booking two such foes in 2021 (West Virginia and Notre Dame), 2023 (Purdue and Rutgers), 2024 (Vanderbilt and Rutgers), 2025 (Vanderbilt and Penn State), and 2027-28 (Maryland and Notre Dame). Though this move is commendable, the quality of the opponents the Hokies have scheduled are not anywhere near the stiff tests that Clemson has signed up for.

The only other ACC member that consistently shares a similar approach – not surprisingly – is Florida State. The Seminoles’ also have an annual clash with an in-state SEC rival built into their schedule, in this case it’s Florida. While FSU didn’t double up last season, in 2018 it added Notre Dame to the mix, in 2017 it was Alabama, and in 2016 it was Ole Miss. Moving forward, the ‘Noles add West Virginia (2020), Notre Dame (2021, 2024, 2026, 2029, 2030, 2032 and 2036), and Georgia (2027-28).

It means that if Florida State can right its ship, it, like Clemson but to a lesser degree due to the quality of its non-ACC foes, can approach the CFP committee with a legitimate argument for a coveted spot in the bracket.

To emphasize how critical this is – we’re living in a time when a group of football aficionados locked in a conference room are tasked with fitting five Power conference champions (plus Notre Dame) into a four-slot CFP bracket. Somebody is going to be left out and all the committee needs is a semi-valid reason.

Let’s pretend that next season Virginia Tech shocks the world by running the tables and wins the ACC while Ohio State wins the Big Ten, Oklahoma wins the Big 12, USC wins the Pac-12, and Alabama wins the SEC. For the purposes of comparison, we’ll say that all five teams are undefeated.

The Buckeyes, Sooners, and Trojans are all the most popular girl in school, the committee wants them AND they’ve each beaten all nine of their conference opponents plus played a quality non-conference foe and a league championship game. As for Alabama, it won the SEC, and they’re Alabama so, who cares who they played in non-conference action. Automatic pass! (The same coupon would likely apply to Georgia, Florida, Auburn, LSU…)

That leaves the poor Hokies, which met the scheduling requirements but didn’t exceed them, left out in the cold – playing in the Orange Bowl instead of for a national title.

Put Clemson in that same scenario – even before it won its two national titles – and it’s a completely different conversation. Why? Because they’ve played TWO top-ranked non-league opponents and a full ACC slate. And, in most cases, they’ve played two SEC teams.

While making a commitment to scheduling tough non-conference opponents is one thing, winning those games is another. That’s where you’ve got to go back to the brilliant choice – in 2008 – of Swinney as head coach.

While scheduling gets you in the conversation, leadership and getting it done on the field makes everyone stop talking.

View Comments (12)

  • I think it needs to be said that Notre Dame is built in to every ACC team's schedule through 2036, after which the current grant of rights expires. Teams aren't actively scheduling them, they are put on teams' schedule by the ACC once every three seasons on average.

    • True Notre Dame is assigned to ACC teams, however Clemson has still chosen to keep 2 Non Conference Power 5 teams, and strong ones on the schedule. I sure wish more Power 5 schools would.

  • Hey, If Notre Dame goes undefeated as well...then what? Surely, the Irish are one of the most popular girls in school too? Does that leave the Trojans out? After all, they are from the (not up to par) Pac 10. I hope it happens and we have six undefeated teams with two left out....talk about reason for expanding the playoffs to 8 teams!

  • This is what College football needs to do for fairness in scheduling...

    REALIGNMENT with POD SCHEDULING.

    Big XII gets integrated into the other four conferences (Kansas gets dropped for Div 1 football).

    Schedule = 3 games from own pod plus 2 from each of other 3 pods for 9 confernce games.

    Add 3 non-conference games one of which must be from a POWER CONFERENCE for 12 total games.

    Every team in a POWER CONFERENCE would play every team in their CONFERENCE every 2 years.

    This plan allows annual regional rivalries within conferences and quicker rotation of non division teams.

    Conference Championship game would be played between 2 Division Champs with the best conference records.

    FOUR POWER CONFERENCES
    ACC BIG TEN PAC SEC
    ATLANTIC EAST PACIFIC EAST
    A A A A
    Boston College Indiana Oregon Florida
    Louisville Purdue Oregon St. Georgia
    Notre Dame Michigan Washington Kentucky
    Syracuse Michigan St. Washington St. South Carolina
    B B B B
    Pittsburgh Maryland California Alabama
    Virginia Ohio St. Stanford Auburn
    Virginia Tech Penn St. UCLA Tennessee
    West Virginia Rutgers USC Vanderbilt

    ACC B1G PAC SEC
    COASTAL WEST SOUTHWEST WEST
    A A A A
    Clemson Illinois Arizona Arkansas
    Duke Iowa Arizona St. LSU
    NC State Iowa State Colorado Mississippi St
    North Carolina Nebraska Utah Ole Miss
    B B B B
    Florida State Kansas State Baylor Missouri
    Georgia Tech Minnesota TCU Oklahoma
    Miami Northwestern Texas Oklahoma State
    Wake Forest Wisconsin Texas Tech Texas A&M

    Notre Dame could play this conference schedule and still play Navy, USC or Stanford and one other non-conference game per year.

    "

    • I enjoy the creative thought.

      This totally separates The Power 5 conferences from the Group of 5 which is bold and it builds a lot of travel by putting one West Coast team per pod.

      I do not like that teams get to pick their own out of conference teams, that creates many of our issues.

      I do like the pod concept and playing every team in your conference every two years and at home once every 4 years.

      Would these random pods be permanent or would they be re-arranged by performance. No one wants Alabama or Clemson in their pod permanently.

      Pods could work inside the current conferences with 4 16 team conference that are basically Southeast, Northeast, Central and West Coast. Maybe a pod of Oregon, Oregon St, Washington and Washington St along with West Virgnia, Pitt, Maryland and Penn State would get more passion. Embrace the rivalries where rival alumni are often neighbors.

    • Actually the Confereces and pods read downward in columns. Not as innovative mix of pod members as it seems, just misaligned tabs for the columns.

  • Hard to give Clemson credit for scheduling Notre Dame. These games are mandated by the ACC. Plus Georgia and Auburn are regional rivals - would be nice to see Clemson play a national game, you know, fly somewhere with a different environment (Oregon, Washington, Michigan, Wisconsin, etc.). Then they would get credit for creative scheduling.

  • Each conference has 9 teams with 7 Power conferences and the remaining conferences, forming the group of 6. During the regular season each Power conference member must play at least 2 power conference opponents out of conference or a combination of 2 power and independent opponents. Power 7 teams can have no more than 14 games in its home stadium over a 2-year period.

    For example Team X has 8 home games in 2018, it can only have 6 home games in 2019 and may have up to 8 home games again in 2020.

    After each team plays 12 games over 13-14 weeks, the College Football Playoff Committee will choose 10 teams to play in Select games the first Saturday in December. One member from each power conference will be chosen for the select games, as well as 1 team from the group of 6, and 2 at-large teams. The games will be played in Arlington, TX, Atlanta, GA, Charlotte, NC, Indianapolis, IN, and Santa Clara, CA. The 4 teams chosen for the College Football Playoff will be chosen from those that participate in these games. New Year’s Six games participants will be chosen from the teams that played in select games but did not qualify for the playoff as well as traditional conference affiliations. TV rights for all power 7 conferences will be split between CBS/CBS Sports Network and ESPN/ABC, as well as rights to Select games and the College Football Playoff games and affiliated bowls.

    Power 7

    ACC (ESPN TV)

    Clemson
    Duke
    Florida State
    Georgia Tech
    Maryland
    North Carolina
    North Carolina State
    Virginia
    Wake Forest

    Big East (CBS TV)

    Boston College
    Louisville
    Miami (FL)
    Penn State
    Pittsburgh
    Rutgers
    Syracuse
    Virginia Tech
    West Virginia

    Big- 9 (Formally Big 12) (ESPN TV)

    Colorado
    Iowa
    Iowa State
    Kansas
    Kansas State
    Nebraska
    Oklahoma
    Oklahoma State
    Utah

    Great Lakes (Formally Big 10) (ESPN TV)

    Illinois
    Indiana
    Michigan
    Michigan State
    Minnesota
    Northwestern
    Ohio State
    Purdue
    Wisconsin

    Pac-9 (Formally Pac-12) (ESPN TV)

    Arizona
    Arizona State
    California
    Oregon
    Oregon State
    Stanford
    UCLA
    Washington
    Washington State

    SEC (CBS TV)

    Alabama
    Auburn
    Florida
    Georgia
    Kentucky
    Missouri
    South Carolina
    Tennessee
    Vanderbilt

    Southwestern (CBS TV)

    Arkansas
    Baylor
    Louisiana State
    Mississippi
    Mississippi State
    Texas
    Texas A&M
    Texas Christian
    Texas Tech

    Independents

    Army
    Ball State
    Brigham Young
    Buffalo
    Connecticut
    Hawaii
    Liberty
    Massachusetts
    Navy
    New Mexico State
    Northern Illinois
    Notre Dame
    Southern California

    American

    Central Florida
    Cincinnati
    East Carolina
    Houston
    Memphis
    South Florida
    Southern Methodist
    Temple
    Tulane

    Conference-USA

    Alabama-Birmingham
    Charlotte
    Florida Atlantic
    Florida International
    Marshall
    Middle Tennessee
    Old Dominion
    Southern Mississippi
    Western Kentucky

    Ohio-Michigan (Formally MAC)

    Akron
    Bowling Green
    Central Michigan
    Eastern Michigan
    Kent State
    Miami (OH)
    Ohio
    Toledo
    Western Michigan

    Mountain West

    Boise State
    Fresno State
    Nevada
    Nevada Las Vegas
    New Mexico
    Utah State
    San Diego State
    San Jose State
    Wyoming

    Presidents

    Air Force
    Colorado State
    Louisiana Tech
    North Texas
    Rice
    Texas-El Paso
    Texas-San Antonio
    Texas State
    Tulsa

    Sunbelt

    Arkansas State
    Appalachian State
    Coastal Carolina
    Georgia Southern
    Georgia State
    Louisiana
    Louisiana-Monroe
    South Alabama
    Troy

    2018 Select Game Model

    Qualifiers
    Clemson (ACC Champions)
    Penn State (Big East Champions)
    Oklahoma (Big 9 Champions)
    Ohio State (Great Lakes Champions)
    Washington (Pac-9 Champions)
    Alabama (SEC Champions)
    Louisiana State University (Southwest Champions)
    Central Florida (Group of 6)
    Notre Dame (At-Large)
    Georgia (At-Large)

    All games played Saturday December 1st
    Arlington: Oklahoma vs. Ohio State 6pm CBS
    Atlanta: Alabama vs. Louisiana State 12pm ABC
    Charlotte: Clemson vs. Central Florida 2pm CBS
    Indianapolis: Notre Dame vs. Georgia 8pm ABC
    Santa Clara: Washington vs. Penn State 4pm ABC

    Playoff Semi-Finals
    Orange Bowl: Alabama vs. Oklahoma Sat Dec 29 7:30pm ABC
    Cotton Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Clemson Sat Dec 29 3:30pm CBS

    New Year’s Six
    Fiesta Bowl. Utah vs. Louisiana State New Year’s Eve 3pm ABC
    Peach Bowl Penn State vs. Central Florida New Year’s Day 1pm CBS
    Rose Bowl Washington vs. Ohio State New Year’s Day 5pm ABC
    Sugar Bowl Georgia vs. Michigan New Year’s Day 8:30pm CBS

    Bowl Tie-Ins

    When not hosting a Semi-Final game each New Year’s Six Bowl will have a tie-in with one or two conferences, hosting either the conference champion or the next highest rated team from that conference once the teams from the select games have been placed in New Year’s Six games.

    Cotton Bowl: Southwestern Conference vs. At-Large CBS TV
    Fiesta Bowl: Big-9 Conference vs. At-Large ABC TV
    Orange Bowl: ACC Conference vs. At-Large ABC TV
    Peach Bowl: Big East Conference vs. At-Large CBS TV
    Rose Bowl: Great Lakes Conference vs. Pac-9 Conference ABC TV
    Sugar Bowl: SEC Conference vs. At-Large CBS TV

    Remaining Bowl Games

    Each conference may have a maximum of 5 teams representing it in a bowl game. At-Large teams can replace open slots. Each team that plays in a bowl must have a minimum of 7 wins.

  • "Let’s pretend that next season Virginia Tech shocks the world by running the tables and wins the ACC while Ohio State wins the Big Ten, Oklahoma wins the Big 12, USC wins the Pac-12, and Alabama wins the SEC. For the purposes of comparison, we’ll say that all five teams are undefeated."

    Well that would be pretty difficult to have happen since USC plays Alabama. But replacing Alabama with a Georgia, Florida, Auburn, or LSU also makes your point to a certain degree. Although at some point Oklahoma will have lost its luster with its performances against elite competition and Oklahoma's major non-conference foe (Tennessee) is likely worse than Virginia Tech's (Penn State). I don't think it's a rock-solid argument that a hypothetical 5 undefeated conference champions would result in Virginia Tech being left out.

  • 2009 might be the last year Clemson didn't schedule 2 BCS/P5 opponents out of schedule, but I think it's worth giving that an asterisk. One of the non-BCS opponents was 12-1 TCU who played in the Fiesta Bowl and is now in the Big 12. Definitely a harder game than playing a P5 bottom feeder.

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